D\u00fcnya, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n ard\u0131ndan n\u00fckleer deh\u015fetin g\u00f6rece g\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015farken, G\u00fcney Asya\u2019da sessiz bir saatli bomba hi\u00e7 durmadan t\u0131klamaya devam etti: Hindistan ve Pakistan. \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki Ka\u015fmir sorunu, sadece yerel bir toprak kavgas\u0131 de\u011fil; ayn\u0131 zamanda insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kaderini \u015fekillendirebilecek bir n\u00fckleer hesapla\u015fman\u0131n da kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralayan k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir fay hatt\u0131d\u0131r.
\nKA\u015eM\u0130R: B\u00d6L\u00dcNM\u00dc\u015e B\u0130R CENNET
\nHindistan ve Pakistan, 1947\u2019de Britanya Hindistan\u2019\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesiyle kurulan iki kom\u015fu devlettir. Ancak b\u00f6l\u00fcnme, en ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren sanc\u0131l\u0131 oldu. M\u00fcsl\u00fcman n\u00fcfusun \u00e7o\u011funlukta oldu\u011fu Ka\u015fmir b\u00f6lgesi, Pakistan taraf\u0131ndan hak iddia edilen; ancak Hindistan\u2019\u0131n anayasal olarak entegre etti\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 bir b\u00f6lge olarak kald\u0131. Bu durum, 1947, 1965 ve 1999 y\u0131llar\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck sava\u015fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde her iki \u00fclke de Ka\u015fmir\u2019in par\u00e7alar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmekte, ancak tamam\u0131 \u00fczerinde hak iddia etmektedir.
\nBug\u00fcn ise s\u0131n\u0131rdaki top at\u0131\u015flar\u0131, insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 ve sertle\u015fen diplomatik diller, yeni bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma dalgas\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini veriyor. \u00dcstelik bu kez tehlike sadece kur\u015funlarla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil; s\u00f6z konusu olan, insanl\u0131k tarihinin en karanl\u0131k silahlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 ihtimali.
\nN\u00dcKLEER S\u0130LAHLAR VE \u00c7ILGINLIK DOKTR\u0130N\u0130
\nD\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde \u015fu an dokuz \u00fclkenin n\u00fckleer silaha sahip oldu\u011fu biliniyor: Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri, Rusya, \u00c7in, Fransa, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, Hindistan, Pakistan, Kuzey Kore ve \u0130srail (\u0130srail resmen kabul etmese de geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir n\u00fckleer cephaneye sahip oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor). Bu \u00fclkelerin toplam n\u00fckleer ba\u015fl\u0131k say\u0131s\u0131 12 binin \u00fczerinde. Ancak as\u0131l sorun say\u0131larda de\u011fil; bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n kimin elinde oldu\u011fu ve ne zaman kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na nas\u0131l karar verilece\u011findedir.
\nHindistan ve Pakistan aras\u0131ndaki n\u00fckleer denge, stratejik olarak \u201ckar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 garantili yok olu\u015f\u201d (Mutually Assured Destruction) doktrini \u00fczerine kurulu. Ancak bu denge san\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar istikrarl\u0131 de\u011fil. Her iki \u00fclkede de milliyet\u00e7i s\u00f6ylemlerin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, kamuoyunun sald\u0131rgan politikalar\u0131 destekledi\u011fi ve askeri kontrol mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131n tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 oldu\u011fu bir ortamda, \u201cyanl\u0131\u015f hesaplama\u201d ya da \u201cani bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u201d olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 felakete s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilir.
\nL\u0130DERLER VE TEHL\u0130KEL\u0130 OYUNLAR
\nN\u00fckleer g\u00fc\u00e7 sahibi \u00fclkelerin liderleri, sadece ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 de\u011fil, psikolojik ve ideolojik yap\u0131lar\u0131yla da bu silahlar\u0131n potansiyel kullan\u0131m riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Pakistan\u2019da ordu, d\u0131\u015f politikada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir akt\u00f6r; Hindistan\u2019da ise Ba\u015fbakan Narendra Modi, Hindu milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi \u00fczerinden sert bir d\u0131\u015f politika izliyor. Kuzey Kore\u2019de ise n\u00fckleer silahlar rejimin hayatta kalma garantisi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu liderlerin \u00e7o\u011fu pop\u00fclizm, otoriterle\u015fme ve i\u00e7erideki politik bask\u0131lar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015fman yarat\u0131m\u0131yla dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte tam bu nedenle, n\u00fckleer silahlar art\u0131k sadece \u201csava\u015f cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131s\u0131\u201d de\u011fil, birer i\u00e7 politika arac\u0131 h\u00e2line gelmi\u015f durumda.
\n\u00c7\u0130N, ABD VE SESS\u0130Z M\u00dcCADELE
\nPeki bu denklemde b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7ler nerede duruyor? \u00c7in, tarihsel olarak Pakistan\u2019\u0131n askeri ve ekonomik destek\u00e7isi olmu\u015ftur. Pakistan, \u00c7in\u2019in \u201cBir Ku\u015fak Bir Yol\u201d projesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik \u00f6neme sahiptir. Bu nedenle \u00c7in, Hindistan\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak y\u00fckselmesini dengelemek i\u00e7in Pakistan\u2019a yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaktad\u0131r. \u00d6te yandan ABD ise son y\u0131llarda Hindistan\u2019la askeri ve ekonomik ili\u015fkilerini derinle\u015ftirdi. Bu tercih, bir y\u00f6n\u00fcyle \u00c7in\u2019i \u00e7evreleme stratejisinin par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak da okunabilir.
\nBu nedenle Hindistan ile Pakistan aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar sadece yerel de\u011fil; \u00c7in ile ABD aras\u0131nda \u015fekillenen yeni So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n da bir cephesi h\u00e2line geliyor. Bu, do\u011frudan silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olmasa da bir \u201cekonomik sava\u015f\u201d ve n\u00fcfuz m\u00fccadelesidir. Ka\u015fmir, bu k\u00fcresel satran\u00e7ta k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir kare gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de oyunun seyrini de\u011fi\u015ftirecek g\u00fc\u00e7tedir.
\nN\u00dcKLEER SAVA\u015e: \u0130NSANLI\u011eIN SONU MU?
\nBir n\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131n etkileri, sava\u015fan \u00fclkelerle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmaz. Atmosfere sal\u0131nacak radyoaktif par\u00e7ac\u0131klar, k\u00fcresel iklimi etkileyebilir; tar\u0131m \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015febilir; milyonlarca insan do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 \u015fekilde hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybedebilir. Modern hesaplamalar, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir n\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131n bile \u201cn\u00fckleer k\u0131\u015f\u201da yol a\u00e7arak d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda a\u00e7l\u0131k ve g\u00f6\u00e7 dalgalar\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.
\nBirle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler ve n\u00fckleer silahs\u0131zlanma savunucular\u0131, her f\u0131rsatta bu silahlar\u0131n tehlikesine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Ancak uluslararas\u0131 hukuk, n\u00fckleer g\u00fc\u00e7leri kontrol etmekte yetersiz kal\u0131yor. Bar\u0131\u015f, hala liderlerin vicdan\u0131na ve kamuoyunun sa\u011fduyusuna emanet.
\nSONU\u00c7: AKIL, S\u0130YASETTEN \u00dcST\u00dcN OLMALI
\nBug\u00fcn Hindistan ve Pakistan aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanabilecek bir sava\u015f, belki de insanl\u0131k tarihinin en k\u0131sa ve en y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 olabilir. Bu nedenle sadece diplomasi de\u011fil, sivil toplumun, medyan\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel kamuoyunun da bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelemesi gerekiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc n\u00fckleer bir d\u00fc\u011fmeye bas\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, o karar\u0131n geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yoktur. Her zaman hat\u0131rlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi sava\u015f\u0131n kazanan\u0131 olmaz. \u00d6zellikle de n\u00fckleer sava\u015f\u0131n.
\nSevgiyle kal\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
D\u00fcnya, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n ard\u0131ndan n\u00fckleer deh\u015fetin g\u00f6rece g\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015farken, G\u00fcney Asya\u2019da sessiz bir saatli bomba hi\u00e7 durmadan t\u0131klamaya devam etti: Hindistan ve Pakistan. \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki Ka\u015fmir sorunu, sadece yerel bir toprak kavgas\u0131 de\u011fil; ayn\u0131 zamanda insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kaderini \u015fekillendirebilecek bir n\u00fckleer hesapla\u015fman\u0131n da kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralayan k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir fay hatt\u0131d\u0131r. KA\u015eM\u0130R: B\u00d6L\u00dcNM\u00dc\u015e B\u0130R CENNET Hindistan ve […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-107977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-yazarlar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=107977"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107977\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":107978,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107977\/revisions\/107978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=107977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=107977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mardinhaberyolu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=107977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}